Texas Bowl Odds And Betting Preview — LSU Vs Kansas State

The 2021-22 LSU football season concludes on Tuesday night (8 p.m. CT, ESPN). The Tigers are taking on the Kansas State Wildcats in the TaxAct Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium in Houston. The game is the last bowl game before the College Football Playoff Championship Game on Jan. 10 between Georgia and Alabama.

Texas Bowl Betting Odds

These teams enter this contest after closing the regular season on different notes. With a 4-6 record and two games to go, LSU (6-6 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) became bowl eligible thanks to wins over UL-Monroe and Texas A&M. On the other side, Kansas State (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) held a 7-3 record before dropping its final two games against Baylor and Texas.

The Wildcats find themselves as 7-point favorites on DraftKings, PointsBet, and Caesars, and as 6.5-point favorites on FanDuel. The total is consistently listed at 47.5.

SPORTSBOOKSPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
DraftKingsLSU +7 (-110)
K-State -7 (-110)
LSU +205
K-State -255
Over 47.5 (-110)
Under 47.5 (-110)
FanDuelLSU +6.5 (-110)
K-State -6.5 (-110)
LSU +210
K-State -265
Over 47.5 (-114)
Under 47.5 (-106)
PointsBetLSU +7 (-115)
K-State -7 (-105)
LSU +205
K-State -261
Over 47.5 (-110)
Under 47.5 (-110)
CaesarsLSU +7 (-110)
K-State -7 (-110)
LSU +220
K-State -270
Over 47.5 (-110)
Under 47.5 (-110)

As always, no matter which bet you are looking to place, be sure to shop around at the various sportsbooks to see which platform has the best available odds. The little bit of extra time spent line shopping can sometimes be the difference between a win and a loss.

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Quarterback Updates

Both of these teams enter this Texas Bowl matchup with intriguing storylines to follow at the quarterback position.

In spring 2021, LSU had four quarterbacks on its roster: Myles Brennan, T.J. Finley, Max Johnson, and Grant Nussmeier. Finley quickly transferred to Auburn, and Brennan was expected to be the starter. However, he broke his arm and needed surgery prior to the season starting in the fall. Johnson took over as the No. 1 man and had a solid season. He finished in the top five in the SEC in passing yards (2,814) and passing touchdowns (27) this season, but he announced last month that he is transferring to Texas A&M.

That leaves Nussmeier as the last remaining quarterback from last spring. He appeared in four games this season, and thus, would need a waiver from the NCAA that would have allowed him to keep his redshirt after playing in the Texas Bowl. However, that waiver was denied, and Nussmeier will reportedly not play on Tuesday night in Houston.

Now, walk-ons Tavion Faulk and Matt O’Dowd are the only quarterbacks that are currently available on LSU’s depth chart. All in all, it’s very unknown what the LSU offense will look like in this one.

On the other side, injuries have plagued Kansas State’s Skylar Thompson throughout his entire six-year career in Manhattan. He left the Baylor game on Nov. 20 with an ankle injury and was unable to play in the season finale against Texas. He also missed two games earlier this season with a knee injury.

The last month has given him time to get healthier, and it appears that he is going to suit up. If he does in fact play, it will be Thompson’s 40th start in a Kansas State uniform, which is the most in school history.

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Point Spread Analysis And Pick

The edge in this one goes to the Wildcats. Thompson brings a ton of experience to the table, which is something that LSU will not have at the quarterback position for this game. Kansas State is a much better team with Thompson at the helm, and his presence was missed in their final two games (both losses).

K-State RB Deuce Vaughn should be able to give the LSU defense some problems. Vaughn was a consensus All-American this season as he ran for 1,258 yards and 15 touchdowns. He ranked in the top-10 nationally in all-purpose yards per game (144.1), and he can do some serious damage catching passes out of the backfield. Vaughn hauled in 47 passes this year for 471 yards and three touchdowns.

Brian Kelly has been named as LSU’s new head coach, but he will not be coaching in this game. Instead, offensive line coach Brad Davis will serve as the interim head coach for the Tigers.

With a ton of question marks at the quarterback position as well as an interim head coach, there is a lot in flux for the LSU Tigers right now. Kansas State has more stability and more experience, which should bode well for them in this matchup.

Take Kansas State -6.5.

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Over/Under Analysis And Pick

To make LSU’s offensive problems even worse, they will be without leading rusher Ty Davis-Price. Price eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark this season and set a school record with 287 yards on the ground on Oct. 16 against Florida. He has chosen to forgo the Texas Bowl as he prepares for the NFL Draft.

The Wildcats held their opponents to 3.6 yards per rushing attempt this season, and they were stout against the pass as well. In total, Kansas State allowed 12 touchdown passes in 12 games, while picking off opposing QBs nine times. With a ton of weapons missing offensively for the Tigers, the Kansas State defense should be able to hold LSU to a low number of points. 

LSU’s defense has not been stellar this season, but it played well down the stretch. The Tigers held their opponents to an average of 21 points per game in their last five contests.

The Kansas State offense figures to rely on Vaughn and the running game, which should keep the clock moving at a decent pace.

Both of these teams are used to relatively low-scoring games. The UNDER went 7-5 for both LSU and Kansas State during the regular season. In addition, the UNDER also cashed in four of LSU’s last five games, and in five of K-State’s final six games.

Roll with the UNDER 47.5.

All odds used were available at time of publishing on the afternoon of Jan. 3.

About the Author

Connor Grootenhuis

Connor Grootenhuis is a freelance sportswriter covering all things sports betting.  Based in the Bayou State of Louisiana, he is a lifelong sports fan and a believer that every loss is a bad beat and every win is easy money.