Alvin Kamara comes into the 2021 NFL season with a wide range of enticing prop bets. AK41, the touchdown machine and toughest tackle in the National Football League, will have to elevate his game even more if the Saints are going to make noise without Drew Brees. If Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill can keep defenses honest, Kamara looks poised for his most productive season yet. Here are some of the prop betting possibilities for the fast and furious focal point of the New Orleans offense.
Pressure Makes Diamonds
Some running backs might look at an increased workload as too much pressure. For Kamara, it’s welcome.
“I don’t look at it as a load,” said the fifth-year veteran, per NFL.com, “I look at as I’m doing what I’ve got to do to help my team. I’m doing my job. A load sounds like a burden, but for me it’s a blessing. If I go from six carries a game to 12 carries a game, that’s not bad. That’s not a load. They’re showing love.”
In 2021, Karama should see plenty of love, especially early in the season as wide receiver Micheal Thomas recovers from surgery. DraftKings put his odds for most rushing yards in the league at +4000 and most touchdowns at +1400. Through a player’s first four seasons, his 59 touchdowns rank third only behind Terrell Davis and LaDainian Tomlinson.
Through the opening four years of a career, Kamara stands as the all-time pass catcher among running backs with 326 receptions. He has at least 80 receptions in each of his first four seasons, and such consistency makes over 70.5 (-125) on DraftKings’ total receptions prop for Kamara look enticing.
DraftKings is also dealing Kamara rushing yards at 945.5 (over +100, under -130). While he has rushed for more than 700 yards in all four of his seasons so far, a winning over bet would require Kamara surpassing his all-time best 932 rushing yards, set last year.
Yes, defenses will be keying on him more than ever, but he still has ace offensive mastermind, coach Sean Payton, to keep defenses guessing. Look for Kamara to be spread out and utilized in a wide variety of creative ways. The Saints need their stallion to produce, and he’s ready to shoulder the load.
As Marshall Faulk himself says, “Let’s be honest. Unless you rush for 2,000 yards, they ain’t talking about running backs much. But the way the game is being played now, you have to be able to play all three downs, and he (Karama) does that.”
The last running back to win an NFL MVP award was Adrian Peterson in 2012, and the last one even to receive a vote was Todd Gurley in 2017. Perhaps the Saints star will buck that trend.
FanDuel set his MVP odds at +12000, while BetRivers sees his more likely Offensive Player of the Year chances at +1600. Derrick Henry was honored with the latter distinction last year, as was Karama’s teammate, Michael Thomas, in 2019.
Bottom line, if the Saints are going to be special, it all starts with their star running back.
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