The New Orleans Saints are in Nashville on Sunday to take on the Tennessee Titans (Noon CT, CBS TV). New Orleans (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) is looking to get back on track after a last-second loss to Atlanta, while Tennessee (7-2 SU, 7-2 ATS) is looking for a sixth-straight win.
Both teams will be without some key players in this matchup. Two weeks ago against Tampa Bay, New Orleans QB Jameis Winston suffered a torn ACL in his left knee and sustained MCL damage. He is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
On the other side, Tennessee is without All-Pro RB Derrick Henry. After Tennessee’s 34-31 overtime win over the Colts in Week 8, it was announced that Henry broke a bone in his foot and, thus, will be out for an extended period of time.
Despite the injuries on both sides, these are two teams aiming for a postseason run. The Saints have made four consecutive playoff appearances, while Tennessee has played in the postseason in three of the last four seasons.
Saints Vs Titans Betting Odds
This should be a very interesting matchup to watch unfold, and oddsmakers are expecting a closely contested game. Playing with a ton of momentum and riding a five-game winning streak, the Titans are listed as 2.5-point favorites at home.
The chart below shows the current odds for this matchup on notable sportsbooks across the country.
|Saints||Titans||Saints Money Line||Titans Money Line||Total|
|DraftKings||+2.5 (-105)||-2.5 (-115)||+125||-145||44 (OV -110, UN -110)|
|FanDuel||+2.5 (-104)||-2.5 (-118)||+128||-152||44 (OV -110, UN -110)|
|PointsBet||+2.5 (+114)||-2.5 (-128)||+130||-150||44 (OV -110, UN -110)|
|Caesars||+3 (-115)||-3 (-105)||+130||-150||44 (OV -110, UN -110)|
While most sportsbooks favor the Titans by 2.5 points, Caesars is showing a 3-point spread in Tennessee’s favor. Conversely, the Saints are available at +3. The total is consistently listed at 44.
The Saints and Titans do not play each other often. They have met four times since 2007, and the last meeting came on Dec. 22, 2019, in Nashville. The Saints walked away with a 38-28 victory. In those four games, the road team is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS. Here are some other notable trends to keep in mind for this matchup:
- The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss
- The OVER is 4-1 in New Orleans’ last five games
- The Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games
- The UNDER is 3-1 for New Orleans on the road this season
- The UNDER is 3-1 for Tennessee at home this season
Roll With The Under
Henry’s absence cannot be ignored. He was a massive part of Tennessee’s offense, which was feeding him the ball more than any other running back in the league before his injury. He still leads the league in rushing by a wide margin, and while the Titans’ offense is still dangerous, not having to worry about Henry is a big advantage for the Saints in this matchup.
The Titans used a running back by committee approach last week against the Rams, with Adrian Peterson, D’Onta Foreman, and Jeremy McNichols sharing reps. They combined for 74 rushing yards, which was 43.1 fewer than Henry was averaging.
The Tennessee offense as a whole managed 194 total yards, which was its fewest in three years. Big plays were hard to come by, as its longest play from scrimmage was 16 yards.
New Orleans possesses the No. 1 rushing defense in the NFL, allowing 73.8 yards per game and 3.2 yards per carry. Even if Henry was playing, it’s not unreasonable to think that the Saints would have a good chance of slowing down Tennessee’s rushing attack.
The Saints also rank fifth in scoring defense, giving up 19.4 points per game. After allowing a last-minute comeback to the Falcons last week, look for the Saints to put an emphasis on the defensive side of the ball in this one.
Another factor that bodes well for the under is the state of Tennessee’s defensive unit. The Titans completely dominated Matthew Stafford and the Rams last week. Stafford is the league’s leading passer, and Tennessee made life difficult for him from start to finish. They forced two interceptions and sacked Stafford five times. The Titans held the Rams to nine points before a garbage-time touchdown with 24 seconds left took their team total to 16 points.
QB Trevor Siemian has been steady for the Saints so far, but the New Orleans offense is not built on big plays. Sean Payton likes to slow things down to help control the clock, and it seems likely that he uses that same approach with Siemian still getting used to running the show.
To make things tougher for Siemian, RB Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable. Kamara suffered a mild knee strain last week against the Falcons and has already missed two practices this week. Kamara is one of the few remaining offensive weapons for the Saints, so his absence would be a big one.
If the Titans can carry some of the momentum from last week’s dominant defensive performance into this game, they could make life difficult for the New Orleans offense. It’s also worth noting that in their last home game, the Titans held Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to three points.
When betting on this game, consider rolling with the UNDER 44.
All odds used were available at the time of publishing on Friday, November 12.