The New Orleans Saints take on the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on Sunday afternoon (Fox, 1:00 p.m. ET), as the Saints look to bounce back after a disappointing 26-7 loss to the Panthers.
Both New Orleans and New England enter this Week 3 matchup with records of 1-1 on the young season. Both teams are also 1-1 against the spread.
The Saints find themselves as slight underdogs on the road, and there’s been early two-way action on this game in Las Vegas.
Sharp bettors laid the opening number of New England -2.5 at SuperBook USA, prompting a move to -3, VP of risk management Ed Salmons told Louisiana Sharp this week. At South Point, though, there’s been sharp money on Saints +3, sportsbook director Chris Andrews said. According to Salmons, wiseguys often try to push a line of -2.5 to -3 with the intention of coming back on the dog at +3.
As of Wednesday, while the market price is New England -3 (even), DraftKings offers Saints +2.5 (even), with the Patriots as 2.5-point favorites (-12o). In what is expected to be a close game, that half a point could be huge.
If you don’t want to worry about the points with such a small spread, you can turn to the moneyline.
The DraftKings moneyline price on New Orleans presents potential value with +130 odds. The Patriots moneyline is -150.
PointsBet, DraftKings, and FanDuel all have the total for this game at 41.5 (OV -110, UN -110). The UNDER is 2-0 for both New Orleans and New England so far this season.
Who Is The Public Backing?
Per an email received from PointsBet on Wednesday, 62% of the bets and 64% of the total money is on the Patriots to cover the 2.5-point spread.
PointsBet also stated that with the total at 41.5, the OVER is taking 68% of the bets and 54% of the cash.
The Saints and Patriots have not met in over four years, the last meeting taking place September 17, 2017 in New Orleans. New England (-5.5) walked away with a 36-20 victory, thanks to 447 passing yards and three touchdowns from Tom Brady.
A lot has changed since then, and Sunday’s showdown will be an interesting game to watch unfold.
Despite not having many head-to-head matchups, there are still some key trends to keep in mind for this contest:
- The UNDER has cashed in five straight games for the Saints going back to last season
- The OVER is 4-0 in the last four games for the Saints following a straight-up loss
- The Patriots covered the spread in back-to-back games just once last season
- The UNDER went 11-5 for New England last season
- New England leads the all-time series 10-4, with New Orleans’ last win coming in 2009
Neither team will want to fall below. 500 to 1-2, so this should be a competitive game that could come down to the final drive. What better way to enhance the entertainment than with a little betting action?
All odds used were available at time of publishing on Wednesday, September 22.