Saints Vs. Falcons Week 18 Betting Preview — Odds, Best Bets, And Props

The New Orleans Saints wrap up the 2021-22 regular season with a road tilt against the Atlanta Falcons Sunday afternoon (3:25 p.m. CT, FOX). The Saints (8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS) are coming off an 18-10 victory over the Panthers in their home finale. On the other side, the Falcons (7-9 SU, 6-9-1 ATS) lost to the Bills 29-15 last week. 

As NFC South rivals, the Saints and Falcons play each other twice a season. The first meeting between these teams came back in Week 9 in New Orleans. Entering the fourth quarter with a 17-3 lead, the Saints eventually lost in disappointing fashion by a score of 27-25. Needless to say, they are looking for their revenge in this one.

Saints’ Playoff Hopes Are Still Alive

Not only are the Saints looking to avenge their November loss against the Falcons, but they are also looking to keep their playoff hopes alive. Thanks to wins in three of their last four games, the Saints still have a shot at the postseason. The Saints can clinch a playoff berth with a win against the Falcons and a loss by the 49ers against the Rams. ESPN currently gives New Orleans a 38 percent chance to make the playoffs.

To add even more drama to the mix, there may be some scoreboard watching on Sunday afternoon. Both the Saints and 49ers will be in action at the same time. Both games are scheduled to kick off at the same time.

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Saints Vs. Falcons Betting Odds

The betting odds for this game got as high as 4.5 points in favor of the Saints, but they have dropped back down to the opening mark of 3.5 points.

SPORTSBOOKSPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
DraftKingsSaints -3.5 (-110)
Falcons +3.5 (-110)
Saints -190
Falcons +160
Over 39.5 (-110)
Under 39.5 (-110)
FanDuelSaints -3.5 (-110)
Falcons +3.5 (-110)
Saints -186
Falcons +156
Over 39.5 (-110)
Under 39.5 (-110)
PointsBetSaints -3.5 (-110)
Falcons +3.5 (-110)
Saints -200
Falcons +165
Over 39.5 (-115)
Under 39.5 (-105)
CaesarsSaints -3.5 (-110)
Falcons +3.5 (-110)
Saints -190
Falcons +160
Over 40 (-110)
Under 40 (-110)

Over/Under Analysis And Pick

Over 39.5 (-110) FanDuel

The first meeting between these teams featured a total of 52 points. Atlanta QB Matt Ryan lit up the New Orleans secondary to the tune of 343 yards and two touchdowns. It was his highest amount of passing yards in a game this season, and that should give him plenty of confidence going into this contest. Ryan is playing well as of late, as he has gone five consecutive games without throwing an interception.

Saints QB Taysom Hill has also done a good job of protecting the ball lately. He has not thrown an interception in three straight games. The Atlanta defense has the worst pass rush in the league, so Hill may have time to operate. The Falcons have managed 17 sacks this season, and no other team has less than 26. With a total this low, the over is attainable. It’s also worth noting that the over is 5-2 in Atlanta’s last seven games against NFC South opponents.

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Best Player Props

Saints RB Alvin Kamara under 62.5 rushing yards (-114) FanDuel

Alvin Kamara has surpassed 62.5 rushing yards in five of 12 games this season. Four of those came in the first five weeks of the season, and the other one was against the Jets. New York has arguably the worst defense in the league, and while Atlanta’s isn’t much better, it should be able to key in on Kamara in this one. The Falcons held Kamara to 50 rushing yards on 13 carries in their November matchup, and they have done a good job of keeping him in check throughout his career. Since entering the league in 2017, Kamara has faced the Falcons nine times. They have held him to an average of 50.8 rushing yards per game.

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Taysom Hill under 0.5 interceptions (-136) FanDuel

Aside from an ugly four-interception performance against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day, Taysom Hill has done a good job of protecting the ball. He has just one other interception on the year, and that was all the way back in Week 4 against the Giants. He has not thrown an interception in any of his last three games, and he has yet to throw an interception on the road. The Falcons have been fairly middle-of-the-pack when it comes to picking off opposing QBs. Atlanta has 12 interceptions through 16 games. They picked off Buffalo’s Josh Allen three times last week, but the horrendous weather conditions in Buffalo were a big reason why. In addition, the Bills use more of an air-raid attack, while the Saints should be much more conservative with their play calling.

All odds used were available at the time of publishing on Friday, January 7.

About the Author

Connor Grootenhuis

Connor Grootenhuis is a freelance sportswriter covering all things sports betting.  Based in the Bayou State of Louisiana, he is a lifelong sports fan and a believer that every loss is a bad beat and every win is easy money.