The New Orleans Saints play their second consecutive Thursday night game as they host the Dallas Cowboys this week (7:20 CT, FOX). Both teams are looking to get back on track. The Saints (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) have lost four straight games, while the Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) have lost two in a row and three of their last four.
Given the Saints’ recent struggles and mounting injuries, oddsmakers have favored the Cowboys by a small margin. Dallas can be found as 4.5-point favorites on most notable sportsbooks. Let’s take a deeper dive into this matchup to see what the best betting option is.
Saints Vs. Cowboys Betting Odds
In both the spread and the total, that half a point could make a huge difference. No matter which side of either wager you end up backing, be sure to shop around at various sportsbooks to ensure you get the best line available.
|Saints Spread||Cowboys Spread||Saints Money Line||Cowboys Money Line||Total|
|DraftKings||+4.5 (-115)||-4.5 (-105)||+160||-190||47 (OV -115, UN -105)|
|FanDuel||+4.5 (-110)||-4.5 (-110)||+172||-205||47 (OV -114, UN -106)|
|PointsBet||+4 (-110)||-4 (-110)||+175||-210||47.5 (OV -110, UN -110)|
|Caesars||+4.5 (-110)||-4.5 (-110)||+175||-210||47.5 (OV -110, UN -110)|
QB Shakeup In New Orleans
After Jamies Winston went down with an injury in Week 8’s matchup against the Buccaneers, Trevor Siemian took the reins of the New Orleans offense. Siemian didn’t look particularly bad early on, but the Saints are 0-4 in his four starts. He has also thrown three interceptions over his last two games and has thrown for just 214 and 163 yards in those two games.
After a dreadful offensive performance against the Bills in which the Saints scored just six points, head coach Sean Payton seems to be shaking things up. NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport is reporting that Taysom Hill has been taking first-team reps in practice this week, and is likely to get the start on Thursday night.
Hill has been battling multiple injuries this season, and his last appearance came in Week 10’s matchup against the Titans. According to Rapaport, Hill was listed as a full participant in Monday’s practice and is being given every opportunity to start.
Hill’s return brings some versatility to New Orleans’ offensive attack. Unlike Winston and Siemian, Hill can make plays with his legs as well as his arm. Last season, the BYU alum started four games at quarterback and led the team to a 3-1 record. He tossed four touchdowns and two interceptions and ran for 209 yards and four touchdowns over that span.
This season, Hill has completed 7 of 8 passes for 56 yards to go along with 20 carries for 104 yards (5.2 YPC) and two touchdowns on the ground.
The Saints play at one of the slowest paces in the NFL, and Hill’s return to the QB position could lead to more running plays. This means the clock could move at a steady pace when New Orleans has the ball. RBs Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram are also hopeful to return, along with OL Ryan Ramcyzk. All of these returning players could need some time to build back some chemistry, so we shouldn’t expect a monster offensive output from New Orleans in this one.
On the other side, the Cowboys have one of the more high-powered offenses in the league. However, they have not been as potent on the road as they have been at home. In six home games this season, Dallas is averaging 35.5 points per game. That number drops to 22.6 on the road. In their last road game, they scored nine points against the Chiefs. The Saints are desperate for a win, so look for a fiery performance from the New Orleans defense.
The Saints have one of the best run defenses in the league, and the Cowboys have an inconsistent rushing attack. New Orleans is allowing 3.4 yards per carry, which is by far the best mark in the league. In addition, New Orleans is allowing the third-fewest rushing yards per game (91.9). It’s tough to see the Cowboys enjoying much success on the ground, which could make their offensive approach a little one-dimensional with the passing game.
Overall, both defenses should be able to stymie the opposing offenses enough to keep this one UNDER the total. It’s also worth noting that the UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams in New Orleans.
Consider backing the UNDER 47.5 in this matchup.
All odds used were available at the time of publishing on Tuesday, November 30.