A professional gambler with an impressive history of futures betting stands to cash more than half a million dollars if the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LVI.
Zack White – who, along with betting partner Mark DeRosa, wagered about $20,000 on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at long odds to win last season’s Super Bowl, per an ESPN.com report – has a substantial investment this year on the Saints. White also hit the Tampa Bay Lightning to win the 2021 Stanley Cup.
His Bucs bets, though, were more fortuitously timed than the ones he has made on the Saints. He and DeRosa got their action down before Tampa Bay landed Tom Brady, when the Bucs were priced around 65/1 odds to win the Super Bowl and 35/1 to win the NFC. After Brady signed, those odds shortened to 10/1 and 5/1, respectively.
This past July, White fired on the Saints, wagering $5,000 at 40/1 for a Super Bowl title and $5,000 for the NFC at 18/1 at Borgata in Atlantic City, and then $5,000 at 40/1 for the Super Bowl and $5,000 for the NFC at 20/1 at Beau Rivage in Biloxi, Mississippi. Both casinos are MGM Resorts properties.
While BetMGM is still dealing 40/1 for a Saints Super Bowl championship, odds around the marketplace range from 25/1 to 50/1.
There’s been a downward adjustment on the Saints, though, partly due to news around Michael Thomas – the star wide receiver is expected to miss the start of the regular season while recovering from ankle surgery, and his relationship with the organization does not seem to be at its healthiest. New Orleans’ win total at SuperBook USA, for example, is down to 9 (under -140) from 9.5 (under -140).
“My timing wasn’t perfect,” White told Louisiana Sharp about his Saints bets. “I was really high on the Saints, and I like Jameis (Winston). …. I played this stuff right before the Michael Thomas news came out, so I felt like I had really good prices at the time. …. I loaded up on Saints 40/1 Super Bowl, Saints 20/1 conference, anything plus-money on them to make the playoffs, and you can still get those numbers.”
Circa Sports in Vegas is alone in offering 50/1 on a Saints Super Bowl title, to which White, a North Carolina resident, said, “Even with as much as exposure I have on them already, I’d be pretty tempted to bet even more if I was in Nevada right now.”
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With 123 yards and two touchdowns on 9-for-10 passing in Monday night’s preseason game against the Jaguars, Winston made a strong case for the starting quarterback job in New Orleans. The former No. 1 draft pick has been battling for the spot with Taysom Hill.
At DraftKings, Winston’s odds to take the first snap of the season have shortened from -185 last week to -350.
Update: Saints coach Sean Payton has decided on Winston as the team’s Week 1 starter, according to multiple reports.
These are positive developments for White’s Saints portfolio, which also includes Winston for Comeback Player of the Year at odds of 20/1, 18/1, and 15/1. BetMGM is currently dealing 10/1 on the outcome, while FanDuel offers 15/1.
Winston’s 30-interception season as Tampa Bay’s starting QB in 2019, of course, is still fresh on many bettors’ minds.
“I think Jameis is one of those players that’s going to throw more interceptions than average, but I don’t think he’s going to be throwing 30 a season. I think that was kind of an outlier,” White said. “So if he can keep things in check and hopefully win the starting job, and they make the playoffs, he’s in the conversation for Comeback Player of the Year easy.”
White added of his overall Saints investment, “I’m down many, many ways on them, including the Jameis stuff, Payton for Coach of the Year, to make the playoffs, a little bit ‘over’ season wins. But I still think that a lot of that value comes from the straight-up 20-plus to one on the conference and 40, 50/1 on Super Bowl. That just seemed like a tremendous amount of value to me.”
Todd Fuhrman, a former Vegas oddsmaker-turned-media personality, is fading the Saints ahead of the season.
“Some of the (bettors) that I respect the most are extremely bullish on New Orleans,” Fuhrman said. “They think it’s one of the more undervalued teams as far as the future market’s concerned, but I’m extremely skeptical.”
Fuhrman said he “took a small position” on ‘under’ Saints total wins.
“I don’t have a ton of confidence in the way that franchise is trending, but it wouldn’t shock me if I was eating crow when the regular season ended and the Saints found a way to get to 10 or 11 wins.”