It has been quite the week in Baton Rouge. LSU took down then-No. 20 Florida in a wild 49-42 shootout on Saturday at Tiger Stadium, then the very next day announced that Ed Orgeron will not return as head coach next season. He will, however, still complete the rest of this season as head coach.
The speculation of Orgeron’s replacement has created an interesting storyline to follow in the next couple of weeks. With everything that is going on, LSU (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) has to hit the road to face an Ole Miss team (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) that is ranked No. 12 in the country.
Saturday’s showdown will kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS, and it is sure to provide a boatload of entertainment.
LSU Vs Ole Miss Betting Odds
Oddsmakers are expecting Ole Miss to walk out of this one with a victory. The Rebels are listed as 9-point favorites at most sportsbooks.
A high-scoring affair is also expected. The total is listed in the mid-70s.
Ole Miss is used to seeing high totals, as its fast-paced offense can generate points in a hurry. The total for Ole Miss’ game against Tennessee last week closed at 84 on DraftKings. The OVER is 4-3 in LSU’s games and 3-3 in Ole Miss’ games.
Here is a look at the sports betting odds on notable sportsbooks for Saturday’s game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
|LSU Sread||Ole Miss Spread||LSU Moneyline||Ole Miss Moneyline||Total|
|DraftKings||+9 (-110)||-9 (-110)||+280||-365||76 (OV -110, UN -110)|
|FanDuel||+9.5 (-112)||-9.5 (-108)||+310||-420||76.5 (OV -110, UN -110)|
|PointsBet||+9 (-110)||-9 (-110)||+275||-360||76 (OV -110, UN -110)|
|Caesars||+9 (-110)||-9 (-110)||+285||-360||76 (OV -110, UN -110)|
As SEC West rivals, LSU and Ole Miss play each other every year. Here are some key betting trends from recent matchups:
- The OVER is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings
- In the last eight matchups, the home team is 7-1 ATS
- The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
- Ole Miss is 1-4 ATS in its last five SEC games
- The OVER is 5-0 in LSU’s last five games as an underdog
Things can go one of two ways for LSU in this one. Now that the band-aid has been ripped off and Orgeron knows his fate, his players could be highly motivated to play tough for him down the stretch. They don’t have a ton of pressure, so they could play more relaxed, which could yield positive results.
On the other hand, there is still plenty of drama surrounding the LSU program. Rumors and shortlists of Orgeron’s replacement are already circulating, and that can be a big distraction. Ole Miss is not an easy team to play against, and LSU hasn’t looked particularly great on the road.
It’s tough to predict which LSU team will show up. Because of that uncertainty, consider either staying away from the spread or leaning toward Ole Miss -9.
The OVER could be a bit more enticing.
Ole Miss ranks third in the nation in yards per game (553.0), fourth in rushing yards per game (262.8), and fifth in points per game (43.7). QB Matt Corral has 14 touchdowns and just one interception. Only Vanderbilt and Mississippi State have allowed more passing yards per game in the SEC than LSU, so Corral should be able to do some damage through the air. In their three games in Oxford this season, the Rebels have scored 54, 61, and 52 points.
LSU’s offense came alive against Florida, and RB Ty Davis-Price lead the way with a school-record 287 rushing yards. The Tigers were playing fast and ate up big chunks of yards. Some teams try to slow the game down against Ole Miss with slow-paced drives in order to keep the high-flying offense off the field, but the Tigers could opt for a quick pace themselves. The Rebel defense has allowed over 1,500 total yards in their last three games.
The LSU defense forced four interceptions and ran one back for a touchdown last week against Florida. It was arguably its best defensive game of the season, but it still allowed 42 points and 350 yards through the air.
Both teams should be playing at a quick pace, and both are capable of lighting up the scoreboard. Last year’s contest in Baton Rouge was a 53-48 slugfest. The rainy and cold weather conditions were less than ideal, but the offenses still combined for 101 points. The forecast in Oxford on Saturday calls for sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s – perfect conditions for a shootout.
In a game that figures to have a lot of possessions and mere seconds off the clock in-between plays, the OVER is the recommendation in this matchup.
All odds used were available at the time of publishing on Thursday, Oct. 21.