Earlier this month, Caesar’s Sportsbook Louisiana released odds for a few of the upcoming college football season’s Week 1 games. One of these games is the Sept. 4 matchup between LSU and Florida State. The Tigers opened as 6.5-point favorites, but the line has since been bet down to 3.5.
All of Louisiana’s sports betting apps will release point spreads for LSU’s opener against Florida State and all of the other college football games in the coming months.
The beginning of April is an incredibly early time for the first college football game lines to come out, but clearly, sports bettors have not shied away from targeting the LSU/FSU showdown. It is technically a neutral site contest, but the Tigers will have at least some characteristics of home-field advantage with the game taking place at the Mercedes Benz Superdome in New Orleans — less than a two-hour drive from the school’s campus in Baton Rouge.
This could explain why Caesar’s opened the line with LSU as nearly a touchdown favorite. Sportsbooks award points to the home team when making their point spreads. A big-time SEC home crowd may warrant up to 3.5 or even 4 points. With this game taking place at an NFL stadium about an hour and a half away from LSU, Caesars probably awarded LSU a little bit less than that in the initial spread.
Sharp sports bettors often value home-field advantage less than the sportsbooks do. That could explain the line movement for LSU’s week one matchup. Perhaps LSU’s uncertainty at the quarterback position, as well as its coaching turnover, has something to do with this line moving three points as well.
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Quarterback Battle Highlights Coach Brian Kelly’s First Preseason
Although there is plenty of hype in Death Valley — and rightfully so — for the Brian Kelly coaching era to begin, it is tough to place too many expectations on LSU football in 2022. The Tigers went 6-7 last season. It is going to take a few years for Kelly’s recruits to develop within the system. Even some of the game’s best coaches have struggled in their first year with a new program.
Nick Saban went 7-6 in his first year at Alabama. Dabo Swinney went 15-12 over his first two seasons at Clemson. Kirby Smart went 8-5 in his first season at Georgia. While the future is bright as can be for LSU football, odds are that it won’t all come together in year one of Kelly’s tenure.
It will be interesting to see how the Tigers’ quarterback situation plays out over the summer. LSU brought in Arizona State transfer Jayden Daniels to compete with Myles Brennan for the starting job. Daniels is a dual-threat QB. He ran for 710 yards and six touchdowns and threw for 2,381 yards for ASU in 2021. Daniels had 10 passing touchdowns and 10 interceptions in 2021, but he had 17 passing touchdowns and two interceptions for the Sun Devils in 2019. Daniels also threw for nearly 3,000 yards and averaged 8.7 yards per pass attempt in that 2019 season.
I would not be surprised if Kelly does not name a starting quarterback until mid-August. Brennan was solid in three 2020 starts — throwing for 11 scores and three interceptions — but Daniels’ legs could potentially give the Tigers’ offense something that Brennan does not. If LSU gets the 2019 version of Daniels in camp this summer, I think you’ll see him under center to start 2022. If not, I think you’ll see Brennan get the nod. Regardless, it is an exciting time to be an LSU football fan as the storied program enters its next era.
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