Giants Vs. Saints Week 4 Odds And Betting Preview: Strong Trends On Total For New Orleans’ Return To Superdome

The New Orleans Saints play their first game back at the Caesars Superdome on Sunday afternoon against the New York Giants (Fox, 1:00 p.m. ET).  With the Saints making their return to New Orleans, they will enjoy their first true home game of the 2021 season.

This is the first meeting between the Saints and Giants since September 30, 2018.  New Orleans won that matchup 33-18, and they easily covered the 3.5-point spread.

The Giants are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS so far this season.  On the other side, the Saints are 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS.

Giants-Saints Betting Lines

The Saints have some momentum from their big win last Sunday in Foxboro.  The oddsmakers are expecting that momentum to carry over with another New Orleans win this week.  The Saints find themselves as 7.5-point favorites at most sportsbooks.

Here is a look at the betting lines for this matchup on oddsboards around the country:

 LSUKentuckyTotal
DraftKings+3.5 (-115)-3.5 (-105)51 (OV -105, UN -115)
FanDuel+3.5 (-114)-3.5 (-106)50.5 (OV -110, UN -110)
PointsBet+3.5 (-115)-3.5 (-105)50.5 (OV -110, UN -110)
Caesars+3.5 (-115)-3.5 (-105)50.5 (OV -110, UN -110)

The total has moved downward since many sportsbooks were as high as 43.5 when betting opened Sunday night.  It can now be found a full two points lower at 41.5.

The Saints have seen six consecutive games stay UNDER the total going back to last season.  In addition, UNDER is 15-4 for the Giants with Joe Judge as their head coach.

New York QB Daniel Jones has continued to struggle in 2021, and he has just two touchdown passes through three games. RB Saquon Barkley is off to a slow start out of the gate, running for a mere 3.4 yards per carry, well below his career average of 4.6. Jones is the Giants’ leading rusher with 161 yards on 23 attempts for 7.0 yards per carry.

New York’s rushing attack has a tough challenge going up against a New Orleans rushing defense that ranks third in the NFL, allowing just 63.0 yards per game on the ground this season.

Offensively for the Saints, it’s clear Sean Payton does not want to ask too much of Jameis Winston. The New Orleans offense ranks 31st in the NFL in both passing yards per game (113.7) and total yards per game (234.0). Payton likes to slow the pace and create long clock-eating drives. The Saints rank ninth in rushing yards per game (120.3), and that helps them to control the clock.

The Saints defense should be fired up to be back in their home building.  The place is sure to be rocking, and the crowd noise could have an effect on New York’s offensive efficiency.  Consider backing the UNDER in this matchup.

Also read: Caesar’s Naming Rights Deal At Superdome Approved By Louisiana Lawmakers

Who Is The Public Backing?

PointsBet told Louisiana Sharp in an email on Wednesday that 65% of bets and 54% of the handle is on the Saints to cover.

In terms of the moneyline, the public is all over the Saints.  New Orleans is taking over 90% of both the bets and handle.

The total is seeing 60% of bets on the OVER, while 61% of the handle is on the UNDER.

Also read: Louisiana Amends Rules To Issue Sports Betting Licenses

Matchup Trends

  • The Saints are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against the Giants going back to 2006
  • The Giants are 10-9 ATS under Joe Judge
  • The UNDER is 15-4 for the Giants under Joe Judge
  • The UNDER is 3-0 for New Orleans this season, and 6-0 in their last six games going back to last season

It is sure to be a wild environment at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans this Sunday, and the Giants could have their hands full.  What better way to enhance the excitement than with a little betting action?

All odds used were available at time of publishing on Wednesday, September 29.

About the Author

Connor Grootenhuis

Connor Grootenhuis is a Content Manager and sportswriter covering all things sports betting. Based in the Bayou State of Louisiana, he is a lifelong sports fan and a believer that every loss is a bad beat and every win is easy money.