Betting On Saints Season Wins Total: Will New Orleans Eclipse .500 Mark?

At the end of the 2021-2022 NFL season, the New Orleans Saints faced more uncertainty than they have in quite some time. Drew Brees retired prior to the 2021 season after spending 15 seasons as the face of the franchise. Head coach Sean Payton stepped away also after 15 seasons, following the Saints’ 9-8 injury-filled season.

Many analysts thought this would be an opportune time for the Saints to rebuild considering the questions surrounding the roster and their salary cap woes. The organization certainly didn’t get that memo. New Orleans made a huge splash by making a trade with the Philadelphia Eagles during the first round of the NFL Draft, which saw them land the 16th and 19th overall picks for picks 18, 101, 237, their 2023 first-round selection, and a 2024 second-rounder. They weren’t done there, as a draft-night trade saw them move up from 16 to 11 to select Ohio State wide receiver Chris Olave.

And just in case you need one more piece of evidence to point to look no further than the signing of 30-year-old safety Tyrann Mathieu.

Although there’s a reason for fans to be excited about these moves, the Saints’ win total is between 7.5 and 8.5 depending on the Louisiana sportsbook of your choosing. Let’s take a look at the New Orleans Saints 2022 win total.

Saints Season Wins Totals For 2022

SportsbookSeason wins total
DraftKingsOver 8 (-135)
Under 8 (-115)
BetMGMOver 8.5 (+105)
Under 8.5 (-125)
CaesarsOver 8 (-130)
Under 8 (+110)
BetRiversOver 8.5 (+103)
Under 8.5 (-125)
FanDuelOver 8.5 (+100)
Under 8.5 (-120)

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Outlook For The Saints

Based on 2021 win percentages, the Saints are tied for the seventh most difficult schedule for the 2022-2023 season. This, of course, is not a perfect way to determine a team’s outlook and needs to be taken with a huge grain of salt. Diving into their 2022 opponents, however, it was difficult to find many games where I felt 100% confident jotting down a ‘W’ beside it. 

At the risk of stating the obvious, a key factor in determining how many Ws QB Jameis Winston eats this year will come down to his divisional performance. Barring the health of the team, the Saints should win both games against the Atlanta Falcons and — at worst — split with the Carolina Panthers. New Orleans has been a thorn in the side of Tampa Bay in recent years as well. If they can split with the Buccaneers, they’re already sitting at four or five wins.

Having to face a stacked AFC North division, which now features a trio of top-tier quarterbacks in Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, and Deshaun Watson is no easy task. The reigning Super Bowl LVI champions Los Angeles Rams will take a trip to the Caesars Superdome, and the Saints will also face three additional NFC playoff teams (Arizona Cardinals, San Francisco 49ers, Philadelphia Eagles).

In total, New Orleans will face eight teams that made the 2021-2022 playoffs, and two teams that will be looking to bounce back, in the Ravens and Browns.

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Betting Recommendation

Personally, this is a season wins total I’m staying away from. It feels like things could go sideways in a hurry for the Saints if they get bit by the injury bug again. Despite the exciting offseason moves, the Saints are thin across their depth chart. WR Michael Thomas has been on a milk carton since 2020. RB Alvin Kamara is reaching the point of his career where we start to see running backs decline. The offensive line is stout but lacks depth. On the defensive side of the ball, there are questions on the line and linebacking corp.

If I were forced to choose any of these lines, however, I’d take the over on Caesars Sportsbook’s line of over 7.5. I’ll sacrifice the smaller payout to gain a one-game edge. If you were to place a $25 bet at -140 versus -110, you’re looking at about a $5 payout difference.

As stated above, the Saints could potentially be sitting at four or five wins from within the division. From there, we need three to four additional wins across 11 games. The timing of these games will be imperative, as the games against the Cardinals and Browns could be impacted by suspensions to WR DeAndre Hopkins and Watson, respectively. If those fall in their favor, in combination with favorable matchups against the Minnesota Vikings and Seattle Seahawks, eight wins is well within reach.

AP Photo/Jason Behnken

About the Author

Cody Kutzer

Cody is a freelance writer contributing to Louisiana Sharp sports betting content. He's a fantasy football fanatic, lover of all things Penn State, and always one bet away from winning his teasers.